Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Villarreal with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 61.4% | 44.4% | −17.0 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 20.7% | 12.2% | −8.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 47.5% | 55.5% | +8.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 76.2% | 83.7% | +7.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 42.6% | 50.1% | +7.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 54.2% | 61.1% | +7.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 60.5% | 67.2% | +6.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 28.9% | 22.2% | −6.6 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 15.1% | 8.6% | −6.6 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 26.5% | 21.2% | −5.4 |
