Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leganés beat Sevilla with a 15.6% chance and Celta Vigo beat Barcelona with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 29 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 40.7% | 4.8% | −35.9 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 53.9% | 86.4% | +32.5 |
| Girona | Relegation | 23.8% | 54.6% | +30.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 53.4% | 29.2% | −24.1 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 43.2% | 63.5% | +20.2 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 55.0% | 36.6% | −18.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 15.0% | 31.7% | +16.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 16.1% | 1.6% | −14.6 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 17.3% | 9.0% | −8.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 92.9% | 100% | +7.1 |
