Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Eibar beat Valencia with a 20.2% chance and Rayo Vallecano beat Real Madrid with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 25 (before the first match) against those on April 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | Relegation | 49.7% | 23.8% | −25.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 34.1% | 53.4% | +19.3 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 36.7% | 43.2% | +6.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 20.7% | 15.0% | −5.6 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 60.6% | 55.0% | −5.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 9.3% | 14.4% | +5.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 97.3% | 92.9% | −4.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 12.2% | 16.1% | +3.9 |
