Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leganés beat Getafe with a 15.8% chance and Valencia beat Sevilla with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 17 (before the first match) against those on March 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 55.0% | 39.6% | −15.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 7.3% | 21.2% | +13.9 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 48.0% | 37.1% | −10.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 44.9% | 34.3% | −10.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 31.4% | 41.7% | +10.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 8.8% | 18.0% | +9.2 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 14.9% | 23.0% | +8.1 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 48.4% | 41.7% | −6.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 28.7% | 22.9% | −5.8 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 5.5% | 1.5% | −4.0 |
