Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Eibar with a 13.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 10 (before the first match) against those on March 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 55.7% | 34.2% | −21.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 42.3% | 55.0% | +12.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 33.7% | 44.9% | +11.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 76.2% | 85.8% | +9.6 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 24.5% | 15.0% | −9.5 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 80.6% | 89.9% | +9.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 19.9% | 28.7% | +8.8 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 22.7% | 14.9% | −7.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 91.2% | 97.5% | +6.3 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 54.0% | 48.0% | −6.0 |
