Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Celta Vigo with a 22.9% chance and Girona beat Real Madrid with a 10.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 11 (before the first match) against those on February 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Relegation | 41.9% | 27.8% | −14.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 20.7% | 34.6% | +14.0 |
| Girona | Relegation | 30.9% | 18.6% | −12.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 53.6% | 63.6% | +9.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 51.8% | 42.3% | −9.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 14.4% | 5.3% | −9.1 |
| Levante | Relegation | 13.4% | 5.2% | −8.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 77.0% | 85.0% | +8.0 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 82.5% | 89.8% | +7.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 16.9% | 23.2% | +6.4 |
