Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Madrid beat Atlético Madrid with a 24.4% chance and Huesca beat Girona with a 16.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 4 (before the first match) against those on February 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | Relegation | 19.4% | 30.9% | +11.5 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 91.3% | 82.5% | −8.8 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 14.9% | 6.5% | −8.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 6.2% | 14.4% | +8.2 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 15.1% | 22.3% | +7.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Europa League | 19.8% | 26.9% | +7.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 15.2% | 8.7% | −6.5 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 24.7% | 18.3% | −6.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 14.1% | 8.3% | −5.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 15.1% | 20.7% | +5.6 |
