Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Villarreal with a 12.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 5 (before the first match) against those on February 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 38.3% | 21.5% | −16.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 57.7% | 69.1% | +11.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 19.6% | 9.0% | −10.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 31.8% | 40.0% | +8.2 |
| Eibar | Europa League | 13.0% | 20.7% | +7.7 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 32.4% | 24.7% | −7.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 73.3% | 80.4% | +7.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 81.9% | 88.2% | +6.3 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 39.5% | 44.2% | +4.6 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 14.3% | 10.1% | −4.3 |
