Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Eibar with a 11.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 61.5% | 47.5% | −13.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 45.3% | 52.8% | +7.5 |
| Granada | Relegation | 59.9% | 67.2% | +7.3 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 20.4% | 13.4% | −7.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 74.7% | 81.7% | +7.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 13.9% | 7.0% | −6.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 18.6% | 24.3% | +5.7 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 12.0% | 17.1% | +5.1 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 22.2% | 27.2% | +5.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 71.6% | 75.9% | +4.3 |
