Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on October 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 57.8% | 68.6% | +10.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 13.1% | 22.9% | +9.7 |
| Granada | Relegation | 50.7% | 59.9% | +9.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 41.5% | 33.3% | −8.2 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 28.0% | 20.1% | −8.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 35.4% | 43.1% | +7.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 79.0% | 71.6% | −7.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 29.3% | 22.7% | −6.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 24.8% | 18.6% | −6.2 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 14.4% | 20.4% | +6.0 |
