Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Celta Vigo with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 17 (before the first match) against those on April 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 84.7% | 62.0% | −22.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 15.3% | 38.0% | +22.7 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 53.0% | 69.0% | +16.0 |
| Eibar | Europa League | 14.9% | 1.8% | −13.0 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 7.4% | 1.5% | −6.0 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 78.1% | 82.8% | +4.7 |
