Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Valencia with a 10.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 25 (before the first match) against those on February 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 50.8% | 36.0% | −14.8 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 57.6% | 46.3% | −11.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 24.7% | 14.0% | −10.8 |
| Levante | Relegation | 55.6% | 66.1% | +10.6 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 36.9% | 46.9% | +10.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 64.4% | 74.1% | +9.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 41.7% | 50.7% | +9.0 |
| Eibar | Europa League | 24.2% | 17.7% | −6.5 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 20.8% | 26.8% | +6.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 17.2% | 11.5% | −5.6 |
