Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 20 (before the first match) against those on December 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 59.4% | 41.1% | −18.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 40.8% | 25.9% | −14.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 42.4% | 49.8% | +7.3 |
| Granada | Relegation | 42.2% | 49.4% | +7.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 26.3% | 32.5% | +6.2 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 37.4% | 43.1% | +5.7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 34.2% | 39.8% | +5.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 22.6% | 17.2% | −5.4 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 20.7% | 25.7% | +5.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 86.9% | 91.6% | +4.6 |