Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Levante with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 47.4% | 34.6% | −12.9 |
| Levante | Relegation | 41.3% | 52.8% | +11.4 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 66.8% | 57.4% | −9.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 21.5% | 29.6% | +8.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 27.0% | 34.8% | +7.8 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 21.5% | 13.7% | −7.8 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 32.8% | 40.3% | +7.4 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 23.9% | 31.3% | +7.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 29.7% | 35.7% | +6.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 88.5% | 82.7% | −5.8 |
