Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Valencia with a 16.7% chance and Getafe beat Real Sociedad with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 5 (before the first match) against those on October 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 56.9% | 36.4% | −20.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 68.5% | 49.6% | −18.9 |
| Valencia | Champion | 17.0% | 6.8% | −10.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 61.8% | 71.8% | +10.0 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 25.8% | 16.7% | −9.0 |
| Elche | Relegation | 40.8% | 49.6% | +8.8 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 17.7% | 25.3% | +7.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 22.9% | 29.3% | +6.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 53.4% | 59.5% | +6.1 |
| Córdoba | Relegation | 57.6% | 62.8% | +5.2 |
