Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 13 (before the first match) against those on April 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Relegation | 11.2% | 2.0% | −9.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 45.1% | 53.4% | +8.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 91.2% | 96.8% | +5.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 8.8% | 3.2% | −5.6 |
| Almería | Relegation | 36.7% | 41.5% | +4.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 66.6% | 71.2% | +4.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 32.6% | 28.5% | −4.1 |
| Levante | Relegation | 18.3% | 14.3% | −4.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 30.1% | 26.1% | −4.0 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 69.9% | 73.9% | +4.0 |
