Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Rayo Vallecano with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 26 (before the first match) against those on February 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 42.7% | 27.9% | −14.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 56.1% | 43.0% | −13.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 32.4% | 45.0% | +12.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 40.0% | 51.3% | +11.3 |
| Almería | Relegation | 47.4% | 36.4% | −11.0 |
| Granada | Relegation | 48.6% | 39.7% | −8.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 41.2% | 49.2% | +8.0 |
| Elche | Relegation | 49.8% | 57.5% | +7.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 79.0% | 86.6% | +7.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 20.2% | 12.8% | −7.4 |
