Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Real Sociedad with a 20.5% chance and Granada beat Real Valladolid with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on May 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 78.8% | 0% | −78.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 21.2% | 100% | +78.8 |
| Granada | Relegation | 53.7% | 0% | −53.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 47.4% | 100% | +52.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 52.6% | 0% | −52.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 62.3% | 100% | +37.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 65.7% | 100% | +34.3 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 18.4% | 0% | −18.3 |
