Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Rayo Vallecano with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 26 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 39.9% | 51.3% | +11.4 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 20.1% | 9.7% | −10.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 55.3% | 65.4% | +10.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 40.7% | 30.9% | −9.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 63.3% | 72.0% | +8.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 65.9% | 73.8% | +7.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 23.9% | 16.7% | −7.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 27.9% | 20.8% | −7.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 7.6% | 14.5% | +6.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 24.7% | 17.9% | −6.8 |
