Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Real Betis with a 14.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 19 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 49.6% | 63.3% | +13.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 36.3% | 24.7% | −11.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 29.7% | 39.9% | +10.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 31.5% | 21.3% | −10.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 15.4% | 23.4% | +8.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 27.5% | 19.7% | −7.8 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 27.4% | 20.1% | −7.3 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 9.2% | 16.4% | +7.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 58.8% | 65.9% | +7.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 17.1% | 23.9% | +6.8 |
