Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Barcelona with a 18.2% chance and Rayo Vallecano beat Real Sociedad with a 10.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 2 (before the first match) against those on March 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 39.3% | 21.4% | −17.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 44.9% | 27.4% | −17.5 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 31.3% | 47.3% | +16.1 |
| Almería | Relegation | 33.7% | 49.2% | +15.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 41.6% | 28.4% | −13.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 49.1% | 62.0% | +12.8 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 18.6% | 30.6% | +12.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 30.2% | 18.2% | −12.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 58.5% | 70.4% | +11.9 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 36.9% | 26.6% | −10.2 |
