Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Sevilla with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 20 (before the first match) against those on January 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 37.3% | 50.4% | +13.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 41.0% | 28.7% | −12.3 |
| Almería | Relegation | 45.2% | 32.9% | −12.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 34.6% | 23.7% | −10.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 45.6% | 55.9% | +10.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 23.6% | 13.8% | −9.8 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 72.1% | 81.2% | +9.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 12.5% | 5.8% | −6.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 39.2% | 32.7% | −6.5 |
| Elche | Relegation | 21.6% | 28.0% | +6.5 |
