Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
BarcelonaChampions League67.6%79.0%+11.4
Real MadridChampions League42.7%31.6%−11.1
MálagaChampions League44.6%54.0%+9.5
BarcelonaChampion29.5%39.0%+9.4
Real SociedadRelegation19.6%11.4%−8.2
Real ZaragozaRelegation28.0%36.1%+8.0
GetafeChampions League15.8%8.3%−7.4
LevanteChampions League19.8%12.5%−7.3
GetafeRelegation10.6%16.5%+6.0
SevillaChampions League22.0%27.4%+5.4
Home 56.3%
Draw 22.7%
Away 21.0%
Home 68.3%
Draw 19.0%
Away 12.7%
Home 31.2%
Draw 27.8%
Away 41.0%
Home 37.3%
Draw 29.2%
Away 33.5%
Home 39.8%
Draw 28.2%
Away 31.9%
Home 37.6%
Draw 29.1%
Away 33.4%
Home 36.3%
Draw 29.5%
Away 34.2%
Home 52.9%
Draw 23.8%
Away 23.3%
Home 64.9%
Draw 20.0%
Away 15.0%
Home 40.9%
Draw 27.9%
Away 31.2%