Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Levante with a 18.5% chance and Granada beat Espanyol with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 22 (before the first match) against those on April 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 53.8% | 80.4% | +26.6 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 59.5% | 80.6% | +21.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 66.8% | 86.3% | +19.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 51.6% | 33.0% | −18.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 26.9% | 8.6% | −18.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 62.9% | 80.6% | +17.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 30.7% | 13.5% | −17.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 73.2% | 56.8% | −16.3 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 30.9% | 18.7% | −12.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 45.0% | 52.6% | +7.6 |
