Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Levante with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 8 (before the first match) against those on April 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 69.8% | 42.9% | −26.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 51.1% | 69.4% | +18.3 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 42.0% | 59.1% | +17.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 71.3% | 83.6% | +12.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 65.4% | 54.2% | −11.2 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 39.8% | 50.3% | +10.5 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 44.9% | 55.3% | +10.4 |
| Granada | Relegation | 39.7% | 49.5% | +9.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 34.7% | 26.1% | −8.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 24.2% | 15.9% | −8.3 |
