Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Real Madrid with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 28 (before the first match) against those on February 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 46.0% | 58.7% | +12.7 |
| Granada | Relegation | 43.6% | 31.9% | −11.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 71.6% | 80.8% | +9.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 32.8% | 41.1% | +8.3 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 24.6% | 17.0% | −7.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 35.7% | 29.4% | −6.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 20.4% | 26.4% | +6.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 7.3% | 13.0% | +5.7 |
| Levante | Europa League | 30.1% | 26.3% | −3.9 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 32.0% | 28.6% | −3.4 |
