Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Real Betis with a 19.6% chance and Levante beat Villarreal with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 17 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Champions League | 42.7% | 58.9% | +16.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 38.4% | 24.2% | −14.1 |
| Granada | Relegation | 50.9% | 62.1% | +11.2 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 39.6% | 28.7% | −10.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 31.3% | 41.5% | +10.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 39.1% | 29.5% | −9.6 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 20.7% | 13.0% | −7.7 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 14.0% | 21.4% | +7.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 82.2% | 89.2% | +7.0 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 11.8% | 5.9% | −5.9 |
