Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Mallorca with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 24.2% | 13.8% | −10.5 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 28.7% | 20.3% | −8.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 50.4% | 42.0% | −8.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 40.9% | 48.6% | +7.7 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 14.2% | 21.1% | +6.9 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 22.3% | 29.0% | +6.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 13.6% | 7.7% | −5.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 41.5% | 47.2% | +5.7 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 13.0% | 7.5% | −5.5 |
| Levante | Champions League | 58.9% | 63.9% | +5.0 |
