Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Espanyol with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 23 (before the first match) against those on April 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Champions League | 46.9% | 70.1% | +23.2 |
| Levante | Europa League | 38.6% | 56.9% | +18.3 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 95.3% | 82.3% | −13.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 12.7% | 1.2% | −11.6 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 7.2% | 18.0% | +10.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 92.5% | 81.8% | −10.7 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 39.5% | 28.9% | −10.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 3.9% | 13.7% | +9.8 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 12.2% | 3.6% | −8.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 36.9% | 45.3% | +8.5 |
