Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 16 (before the first match) against those on April 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 25.7% | 2.9% | −22.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 74.3% | 97.1% | +22.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 23.2% | 36.9% | +13.7 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 20.3% | 33.7% | +13.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 79.1% | 92.5% | +13.4 |
| Granada | Relegation | 15.2% | 3.9% | −11.3 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 21.8% | 12.2% | −9.6 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 15.5% | 7.0% | −8.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 88.7% | 96.1% | +7.4 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 18.6% | 11.6% | −7.0 |
