Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Sporting Gijón with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 26 (before the first match) against those on August 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 46.3% | 61.7% | +15.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 37.9% | 23.5% | −14.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 51.3% | 64.5% | +13.3 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 35.7% | 25.2% | −10.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 15.9% | 25.7% | +9.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 30.5% | 21.6% | −8.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 13.5% | 21.9% | +8.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 22.7% | 14.9% | −7.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 16.3% | 24.0% | +7.7 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 23.5% | 16.4% | −7.1 |
