Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Racing Santander with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 15 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 31.0% | 18.7% | −12.3 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 19.7% | 10.3% | −9.4 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 22.5% | 13.1% | −9.4 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 27.5% | 35.2% | +7.7 |
| Granada | Relegation | 45.9% | 53.5% | +7.6 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 16.1% | 23.3% | +7.2 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 13.4% | 20.2% | +6.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 7.4% | 14.1% | +6.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 15.0% | 21.6% | +6.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 14.7% | 21.2% | +6.5 |
