Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Mallorca with a 23.9% chance and Real Betis beat Atlético Madrid with a 14.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 28 (before the first match) against those on December 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 39.8% | 65.1% | +25.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 12.2% | 34.9% | +22.7 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 38.9% | 20.5% | −18.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 15.8% | 29.7% | +13.9 |
| Granada | Relegation | 40.3% | 27.0% | −13.3 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 21.1% | 9.2% | −12.0 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 11.3% | 20.8% | +9.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 31.8% | 22.3% | −9.5 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 10.6% | 19.6% | +9.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 75.6% | 66.6% | −9.0 |
