Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Valencia with a 24.8% chance and Barcelona beat Real Madrid with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 18.9% | 37.3% | +18.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 74.9% | 58.2% | −16.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 46.0% | 58.8% | +12.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 20.7% | 32.1% | +11.4 |
| Levante | Champions League | 37.9% | 48.9% | +10.9 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 44.2% | 33.5% | −10.7 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 27.5% | 18.3% | −9.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 25.3% | 17.1% | −8.2 |
| Granada | Relegation | 30.1% | 36.9% | +6.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 34.5% | 28.5% | −6.1 |
