Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Barcelona with a 20.1% chance, Real Sociedad beat Real Betis with a 23.9% chance, Osasuna beat Espanyol with a 24.2% chance, and Granada beat Athletic Club with a 10.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 21 (before the first match) against those on November 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 53.1% | 40.3% | −12.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 28.4% | 15.8% | −12.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 64.9% | 75.6% | +10.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 22.9% | 12.6% | −10.3 |
| Levante | Champions League | 36.7% | 46.6% | +9.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 41.4% | 31.8% | −9.6 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 29.8% | 38.9% | +9.1 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 34.8% | 26.4% | −8.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 32.7% | 40.5% | +7.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 32.0% | 39.8% | +7.8 |
