Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Sevilla with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 6 (before the first match) against those on December 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 52.9% | 30.1% | −22.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 43.1% | 22.1% | −21.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 25.9% | 46.0% | +20.1 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 28.0% | 44.2% | +16.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 59.1% | 74.9% | +15.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 36.5% | 25.3% | −11.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 11.0% | 20.7% | +9.7 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 15.4% | 23.7% | +8.3 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 19.3% | 27.5% | +8.2 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 9.8% | 2.7% | −7.1 |
