Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Atlético Madrid with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 2 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 63.7% | 87.9% | +24.2 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 9.9% | 27.7% | +17.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 67.6% | 50.0% | −17.6 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 18.8% | 2.5% | −16.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 18.0% | 4.1% | −13.8 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 85.9% | 98.3% | +12.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 30.7% | 42.5% | +11.8 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 26.1% | 16.1% | −10.0 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 6.8% | 0.2% | −6.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 2.9% | 7.7% | +4.9 |
