Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Real Madrid with a 8.1% chance and Real Sociedad beat Barcelona with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 25 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules | Relegation | 61.3% | 85.9% | +24.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 9.4% | 30.7% | +21.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 30.5% | 9.9% | −20.5 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 78.8% | 63.7% | −15.1 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 13.2% | 26.1% | +12.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 55.2% | 67.6% | +12.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 28.9% | 18.0% | −10.9 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 46.4% | 56.5% | +10.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 12.9% | 2.9% | −10.0 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 28.0% | 18.8% | −9.2 |
