Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Sevilla with a 21.0% chance and Espanyol beat Atlético Madrid with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 22 (before the first match) against those on November 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 49.7% | 31.1% | −18.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 43.4% | 60.3% | +16.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 24.7% | 12.7% | −11.9 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 32.5% | 20.9% | −11.6 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 32.1% | 21.5% | −10.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 27.3% | 16.8% | −10.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 53.6% | 63.4% | +9.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 45.8% | 54.9% | +9.1 |
| Levante | Relegation | 40.1% | 48.0% | +8.0 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 27.8% | 35.6% | +7.8 |
