Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Sevilla with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 14 (before the first match) against those on November 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 56.1% | 40.1% | −16.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 34.0% | 24.7% | −9.4 |
| Almería | Relegation | 23.6% | 32.1% | +8.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 16.4% | 8.3% | −8.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 19.3% | 27.3% | +8.0 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 35.4% | 43.0% | +7.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 25.6% | 32.1% | +6.5 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 26.2% | 32.5% | +6.3 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 13.8% | 20.1% | +6.3 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 12.6% | 18.2% | +5.6 |
