Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 29.0% | 44.7% | +15.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 43.6% | 28.3% | −15.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 41.6% | 29.3% | −12.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 44.7% | 55.7% | +11.0 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 55.3% | 46.5% | −8.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 31.2% | 39.2% | +8.0 |
| Xerez | Relegation | 53.6% | 60.6% | +7.0 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 19.8% | 13.2% | −6.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 32.1% | 26.1% | −6.0 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 12.0% | 17.7% | +5.7 |
