Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Xerez beat Villarreal with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xerez | Relegation | 64.6% | 53.6% | −11.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 20.6% | 11.2% | −9.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 35.3% | 43.6% | +8.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 23.9% | 32.1% | +8.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 33.5% | 41.6% | +8.1 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 77.0% | 69.7% | −7.3 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 20.2% | 26.8% | +6.6 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 18.2% | 12.8% | −5.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 11.1% | 5.9% | −5.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 16.0% | 11.1% | −4.9 |
