Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Atlético Madrid with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 8 (before the first match) against those on May 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Europa League | 56.5% | 100% | +43.5 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 43.5% | 0% | −43.5 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 35.7% | 0% | −35.7 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 64.3% | 100% | +35.7 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 64.3% | 100% | +35.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 35.7% | 0% | −35.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 66.6% | 100% | +33.4 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 31.1% | 0% | −31.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 27.9% | 0% | −27.9 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 80.8% | 100% | +19.2 |
