Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 5 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 87.7% | 66.6% | −21.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 70.1% | 88.3% | +18.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 29.9% | 11.7% | −18.3 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 68.7% | 80.8% | +12.1 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 12.1% | 0% | −12.1 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 22.7% | 31.1% | +8.4 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 49.0% | 56.5% | +7.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 20.8% | 27.9% | +7.1 |
| Xerez | Relegation | 98.7% | 93.5% | −5.2 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 38.9% | 43.5% | +4.6 |
