Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 26 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 23.8% | 5.1% | −18.6 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 79.4% | 62.7% | −16.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 55.7% | 70.6% | +14.9 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 20.3% | 34.6% | +14.3 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 57.8% | 71.7% | +13.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 67.3% | 80.6% | +13.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 68.4% | 79.9% | +11.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 31.6% | 20.1% | −11.5 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 38.2% | 28.2% | −10.0 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 20.4% | 10.5% | −9.9 |
