Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Sporting Gijón with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 19 (before the first match) against those on April 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 88.2% | 67.3% | −20.9 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 33.9% | 20.4% | −13.5 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 40.9% | 51.3% | +10.4 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 70.0% | 79.4% | +9.4 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 24.8% | 33.5% | +8.7 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 39.4% | 30.9% | −8.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 16.7% | 23.8% | +7.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 1.8% | 6.9% | +5.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 72.3% | 68.4% | −3.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 27.7% | 31.6% | +3.9 |
