Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Xerez beat Málaga with a 10.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 28 (before the first match) against those on March 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 37.8% | 49.2% | +11.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 62.2% | 50.8% | −11.4 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 24.9% | 34.4% | +9.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 64.9% | 55.4% | −9.5 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 61.8% | 68.7% | +6.9 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 27.8% | 34.6% | +6.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 87.3% | 81.8% | −5.5 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 11.6% | 16.3% | +4.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 13.1% | 16.9% | +3.8 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 28.3% | 32.0% | +3.7 |
