Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Getafe with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 22 (before the first match) against those on February 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 54.9% | 34.2% | −20.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 50.6% | 61.8% | +11.1 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 15.0% | 24.9% | +9.8 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 69.7% | 78.6% | +8.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 46.8% | 39.7% | −7.1 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 12.8% | 5.8% | −7.0 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 8.3% | 13.2% | +4.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 5.2% | 10.0% | +4.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 9.9% | 14.4% | +4.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 91.7% | 87.3% | −4.4 |
