Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Recreativo Huelva beat Osasuna with a 21.7% chance and Almería beat Racing Santander with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 26 (before the first match) against those on May 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 22.2% | 47.4% | +25.2 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 81.7% | 58.2% | −23.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 35.7% | 13.8% | −21.9 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 15.8% | 36.0% | +20.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 77.0% | 95.7% | +18.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 54.1% | 36.8% | −17.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 19.3% | 4.1% | −15.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 21.3% | 36.0% | +14.7 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 28.3% | 41.9% | +13.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 17.0% | 3.9% | −13.0 |
