Round 38

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Espanyol with a 23.9% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on May 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
MallorcaEuropa League29.7%0%−29.7
Racing SantanderEuropa League70.3%100%+29.7
Real ZaragozaRelegation71.5%100%+28.5
OsasunaRelegation16.6%0%−16.5
Recreativo HuelvaRelegation6.7%0%−6.7
Real ValladolidRelegation5.2%0%−5.2
Home 24.9%
Draw 24.6%
Away 50.6%
Home 53.4%
Draw 23.6%
Away 23.0%
Home 39.9%
Draw 28.2%
Away 31.9%
Home 54.1%
Draw 23.4%
Away 22.5%
Home 55.2%
Draw 23.1%
Away 21.8%
Home 52.0%
Draw 24.1%
Away 23.9%
Home 37.5%
Draw 29.1%
Away 33.4%
Home 52.0%
Draw 24.1%
Away 23.9%
Home 76.1%
Draw 16.8%
Away 7.2%
Home 61.7%
Draw 21.0%
Away 17.3%